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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Milan logo

Cagliari
0 - 1
AC Milan


Bellanova (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennacer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan

Cagliari will be desperate to claim all three points as they aim to steer themselves further away from the relegation zone. However, we cannot see the hosts getting the better of Milan, who should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
17.91%20.42%61.67%
Both teams to score 56.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.76%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55%35.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79%72.21%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7%12.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92%38.08%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 17.91%
    AC Milan 61.67%
    Draw 20.42%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.91%
1-0 @ 4.52%
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.91%
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.42%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 6.94%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-4 @ 3.5%
2-4 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.52%
0-5 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 61.67%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
7.5%
Draw
7.5%
AC Milan
85.0%
107
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari

Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')

Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
Jan 11, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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