Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.