Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
77.21% ( 0.18) | 14.23% ( -0.09) | 8.55% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.87% ( 0.11) | 33.13% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.13% ( 0.13) | 54.87% ( -0.12) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.01% ( 0.06) | 6.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.42% ( 0.16) | 25.58% ( -0.16) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.3% ( -0.12) | 45.7% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% ( -0.1) | 81.49% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 77.2% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.23% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 8.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |