Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
20.82% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0) | 55.4% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.03) | 49.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 0.03) | 71.89% ( -0.02) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.56% ( 0.05) | 38.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.8% ( 0.04) | 75.2% ( -0.04) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0) | 17.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( 0) | 48.64% |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 55.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |