Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
73.13% ( 0.16) | 15.59% ( -0.08) | 11.27% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.03% ( 0.17) | 30.97% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.64% ( 0.21) | 52.35% ( -0.21) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.69% ( 0.07) | 7.31% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.58% ( 0.19) | 26.42% ( -0.19) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.11% ( -0.01) | 38.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.38% ( -0) | 75.62% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.59% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 11.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |