Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Annan Athletic |
46.53% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0) | 28.42% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.48% ( 0.01) | 48.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( 0.01) | 70.64% ( -0.01) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.12% ( 0.01) | 20.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.41% ( 0.02) | 53.59% ( -0.02) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0) | 31.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.01) | 67.41% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |