Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
17.46% ( -0.04) | 18.42% | 64.12% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.23% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.51% ( -0.07) | 30.49% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.22% ( -0.09) | 51.78% ( 0.09) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.08) | 30.45% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% ( -0.1) | 66.65% ( 0.1) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.91% ( -0.01) | 9.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.12% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 17.46% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |