Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
42.12% ( -0.26) | 24.37% | 33.51% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 59.41% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% ( 0.08) | 43.26% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% ( 0.08) | 65.66% ( -0.08) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( -0.08) | 20.67% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( -0.13) | 53.25% ( 0.13) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( 0.19) | 25.12% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( 0.26) | 59.82% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |