Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.