Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.