Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
32.66% (![]() | 25.01% (![]() | 42.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% (![]() | 46.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% (![]() | 68.73% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% (![]() | 27.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% (![]() | 62.57% (![]() |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% (![]() | 21.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% (![]() | 55.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.04% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 47 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 46 |
3 | Livingston | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 45 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 27 |
8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 22 |
9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 12 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |