Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
39.75% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( -0) | 34.57% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( -0) | 48.94% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( -0) | 71.03% ( 0) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.02) | 24.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( 0.03) | 58.67% ( -0.03) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.03) | 27.19% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.04) | 62.6% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Livingston | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 42 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |