Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
43.78% ( -0.08) | 24.51% ( 0.17) | 31.7% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.83) | 44.53% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.1% ( -0.81) | 66.9% ( 0.81) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -0.38) | 20.45% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( -0.6) | 52.91% ( 0.6) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( -0.47) | 26.83% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( -0.61) | 62.13% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |