Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.31% ( -0.59) | 25.94% ( -0.04) | 33.75% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0.29) | 50.25% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0.26) | 72.21% ( -0.26) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.18) | 24.59% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% ( -0.25) | 59.09% ( 0.25) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.54) | 28.34% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% ( 0.68) | 64.07% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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