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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-2 Al Wahda
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Wahda 0-3 Al-Nassr

 Al-Nassr turned in another dominant team performance in midweek and will head into Saturday's game with sky-high confidence. Castro's men are currently firing on all cylinders, and looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 13.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 2-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
13.19% (0.046999999999999 0.05) 18.22% (0.023 0.02) 68.58% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)61.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.18% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (0.065999999999999 0.07)77.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.32% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.75% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 13.19%
    Al-Nassr 68.58%
    Draw 18.22%
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 3.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.19%
1-1 @ 8.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.22%
0-2 @ 10.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 68.58%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Al-Nassr
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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