MX23RW : Sunday, December 29 05:01:45| >> :600:120717:120717:
[monks data]
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
May 16, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Poulsen (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gulde (34')
Sallai (24')

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Freiburg - prediction, form guide, head-to-head record

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, form guide and possible lineups.

RB Leipzig will be looking to keep up the pressure on the top two when they host Freiburg on their return to Bundesliga action this weekend.

The Red Bulls are a point behind Borussia Dortmund and five adrift of leaders Bayern Munich, while Freiburg crept back into the top half before the coronavirus pandemic struck.


Match preview

RB Leipzig forward Timo Werner pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Leipzig had momentum on their side when football across Europe was brought to a halt in March after going seven matches without a defeat.

Indeed, Julian Nagelsmann's men beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 in their most recent outing to progress to the quarter-finals of the Champions League for the first time ever.

While the resumption of UEFA's flagship competition still seems a long way off, the Bundesliga will become the first of Europe's major leagues to resume this weekend.

Leipzig did play out back-to-back league draws prior to their European win over Tottenham, so Nagelsmann will be keen to see his side get back to winning ways in Saturday's behind-closed-doors clash.

Freiburg will not make things easy for their opponents, though, having returned to winning ways themselves last time out with a 3-1 home victory over Union Berlin.

That win lifted Christian Streich's side into eighth place, just a point behind Schalke 04 in seventh place, which is enough for a Europa League qualifying berth.

Freiburg attacker Luca Waldschmidt pictured in October 2019© Reuters

However, Freiburg were being discussed as possible top-four outsiders following a strong start to the season that saw them occupy fourth place after gameweek 12.

They have since won only four of their last 13 matches, including that battling victory at home to Union on March 7.

That was a long time ago now, of course, and it remains to be seen just what standard both sets of players will be in following a prolonged break.

What is for certain is that Leipzig will need star man Timo Werner fit and firing right from the off if they are to remain hot on the heels of Bayern, who have the disadvantage of playing the following day.

With six clean sheets in their last seven matches in all competitions, Nagelsmann's men have a perfect platform to push on over the remaining weeks of this disjointed season.

RB Leipzig's Bundesliga form: DDWWDD
RB Leipzig's form (all competitions): WWWDDW

Freiburg's Bundesliga competition form: LWDLLW


Team News

RB Leipzig's Marcel Sabitzer celebrates scoring their first goal on March 10, 2020© Reuters

Werner was struggling with a thigh injury in March but is understood to be fully recovered in time for the big Bundesliga restart.

Fellow attacker Emil Forsberg has tonsillitis and is expected to sit this one out, however, and in-demand defender Dayot Upamecano is suspended.

There are also doubts over the fitness of Marcel Sabitzer and Patrick Schick, who have unspecified minor injuries, while Ibrahima Konate is not fully fit but should still start.

As for Freiburg, Christian Gunter and Manuel Gulde have recovered from respective muscle and ankle injuries.

Lukas Kubler underwent knee surgery earlier this year and is still on the comeback trail, though Streich otherwise has a fully fit squad to choose from.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Klostermann, Konate, Halstenberg; Mukiele, Laimer, Sabitzer, Angelino; Schick, Nkunku; Werner

Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Koch, Gulde, Heintz; Gunter, Hofler, Haberer, Schmid; Waldschmidt, Sallai, Holer


Sports Mole Logo

We say: RB Leipzig 1-0 Freiburg

Leipzig have drawn too many games during their ongoing unbeaten run and need to hit the ground running if they are to get their title charge back on track. Freiburg have slipped down the division since their strong start, but they remain contenders for a Europa League spot and will not be easy to overcome.



ID:399390: cacheID:399390:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:8087:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Freiburg attacker Luca Waldschmidt pictured in October 2019
Read Next:
Chelsea 'planning move for Luca Waldschmidt'
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Cardinals
@
Rams
6pm
Jets
@
Bills
6pm
Panthers
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Colts
@
Giants
6pm
Titans
@
Jags
6pm
Raiders
@
Saints
6pm
Packers
@
Vikings
9.05pm
Dolphins
@
Browns
9.25pm
Cowboys
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!