Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.