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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto


Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Porto

With plenty of renewed confidence in their camp following the recent beating of Benfica, and the chance to narrow the gap to the top two, Porto should have far too much for the struggling hosts, and we see them putting up another dominant victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
11.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 70.57% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.08%
    Porto 70.56%
    Draw 18.35%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.35%
0-2 @ 13.07%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.56%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
13.5%
Draw
16.2%
Porto
70.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')
Carmo (83')

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')
Apr 2, 2023 8.30pm
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Porto
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente185762227-522
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
16AVS182971427-1315
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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