

Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
The Match
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Premier League
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Chelsea |
28.69% (![]() | 22.66% (![]() | 48.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.56% (![]() | 37.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.34% (![]() | 59.66% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% (![]() | 25.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% (![]() | 59.98% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% (![]() | 15.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.18% (![]() | 44.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 6.96% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 10.1% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 48.65% |
How you voted: Southampton vs Chelsea





