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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Luton Town

Chelsea
3 - 0
Luton

Sterling (17', 68'), Jackson (75')
Fernandez (73'), Maatsen (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lockyer (27'), Nakamba (30'), Brown (78')

The Match

Match Report

Raheem Sterling scores twice as Chelsea record a 3-0 win over newly-promoted Luton Town in Friday's Premier League clash at Stamford Bridge.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Luton Town.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Friday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's Premier League encounter against Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Chelsea
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Luton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawLuton Town
50.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.97% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.46% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 50.28%
    Luton Town 24.44%
    Draw 25.27%
ChelseaDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 50.28%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Luton

Chelsea
80.8%
Draw
9.0%
Luton Town
10.3%
312
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
Fifth Round
Luton
2-3
Chelsea
Burke (2'), Cornick (40')
Muskwe (67')
Niguez (27'), Werner (68'), Lukaku (78')
Jan 24, 2021 12pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
3-1
Luton
Abraham (11', 17', 74')
Clark (30')
Clark (85')
rhs 2.0
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4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
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12Crystal Palace226972528-327
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15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
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20Southampton2213181550-356


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