MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:01:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 3
Crusaders

Malone (74')
Campbell (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Rourke (45+1'), Heatley (65'), Owens (90+3')
Heatley (58'), Larmour (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Larne
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
17.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 21.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 60.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.86% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.17% (0.012 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)76.29% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.0039999999999907 0)14.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 17.63%
    Crusaders 60.63%
    Draw 21.73%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 17.63%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.63%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Heatley (44'), Lowry (58')
Clarke (79')

Quinn (45')
Brown (82')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Glenavon
2-2
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (55'), Doran (74')
Heatley (69'), Lowry (90+2')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Glenavon
4-2
Crusaders
Campbell (36', 50'), Fitzpatrick (40'), O'Rourke (87' og.)
Lowry (48'), Joe Burns (70')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Crusaders
3-2
Glenavon
Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Crusaders
0-0
Glenavon
Forsythe (45'), (65')
Snoddy (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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