MX23RW : Monday, December 23 04:01:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Glenavon

Millar (9'), Bonis (54'), Ryan (56'), O'Neill (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Prendergast (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Larne
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawGlenavon
61.5% (0.953 0.95) 20.53% (-0.324 -0.32) 17.97% (-0.632 -0.63)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.447 0.45)39.85% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.462 0.46)62.21% (-0.465 -0.46)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.41300000000001 0.41)12.49% (-0.415 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (0.855 0.86)38.46% (-0.857 -0.86)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.42 -0.42)35.64% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.438 -0.44)72.41% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Larne 61.5%
    Glenavon 17.97%
    Draw 20.53%
LarneDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 61.5%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Glenavon
0-4
Larne

Garrett (38')
Bonis (47', 48', 56'), Sloan (65')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
3-0
Glenavon
Millar (14', 41'), Bonis (74')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Glenavon
0-1
Larne
Ward (80' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
1-2
Larne
Glynn (40')
Campbell (30'), (82')
Birney (64'), Malone (77')
O'Neill (33'), Doherty (90+7' pen.)
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
Bonis (3')
Fitzpatrick (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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