MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:59:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 2
Crusaders

Fitzpatrick (55'), Doran (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heatley (69'), Lowry (90+2')
Forsythe (17'), Lowry (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 3-0 Glenavon
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
17.55% (0.237 0.24) 20.73% (0.19 0.19) 61.72% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (-0.46 -0.46)41.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (-0.466 -0.47)63.91% (0.468 0.47)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06% (-0.264 -0.26)12.94% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.6% (-0.545 -0.55)39.4% (0.547 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 17.55%
    Crusaders 61.72%
    Draw 20.73%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.098 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 17.55%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.73%
0-2 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.72%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Glenavon
4-2
Crusaders
Campbell (36', 50'), Fitzpatrick (40'), O'Rourke (87' og.)
Rogers (71'), Doyle (81')
Lowry (48'), Joe Burns (70')
Joe Burns (37'), McMurray (63'), Forsythe (73')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
3-2
Glenavon
Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Weir (23')
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
0-0
Glenavon

Forsythe (45'), (65')

Snoddy (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Robinson (63'), McMurray (85')
Campbell (9')
O'Connor (45+3'), Garrett (58')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
1-0
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (85')
Singleton (38'), Snoddy (48'), O'Connor (50')

Forsythe (22'), Hegarty (33'), O'Rourke (67'), Weir (69'), Caddell (90')
Weir (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!