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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 2
Carrick

Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
40.86% (-0.183 -0.18) 24.1% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 35.04% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.79% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38% (0.177 0.18)41.62% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.178 0.18)64.02% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)53.06% (0.012 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.48% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.284 0.28)57.49% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 40.86%
    Carrick Rangers 35.04%
    Draw 24.1%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.04%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
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6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
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FT
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30-38
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9.05pm
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9.25pm
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9.25pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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