Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malta had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Faroe Islands would win this match.
