Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.04% ( 3.15) | 25.78% ( 0.56) | 37.17% ( -3.7) |
Both teams to score 55% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% ( -2.14) | 49.2% ( 2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( -1.96) | 71.26% ( 1.96) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.82) | 25.87% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.1) | 60.86% ( -1.1) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -2.91) | 25.8% ( 2.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -4.12) | 60.76% ( 4.12) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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