Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.