Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
86.64% ( -0.08) | 9.46% ( 0.06) | 3.89% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.11% ( -0.25) | 29.89% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.94% ( -0.3) | 51.06% ( 0.3) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.38% ( -0.06) | 4.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.17% ( -0.17) | 18.83% ( 0.18) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.16% ( -0.1) | 57.84% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.49% ( -0.06) | 89.51% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
3-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 86.63% | 1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.46% | 0-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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