Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.