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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
1 - 0
Wrexham

Langstaff (13')
Slocombe (60'), Langstaff (70'), Brindley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (61'), Lee (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Notts County 1-1 Wrexham

It is too difficult to split the two teams with them both in such good form and Notts County undefeated so far at Meadow Lane. As a result, we have this one as a draw, which would see Wrexham remain at the top of the National League table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
44.07% (-2.792 -2.79) 26.05% (0.591 0.59) 29.88% (2.204 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-1.246 -1.25)51.94% (1.248 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-1.087 -1.09)73.68% (1.091 1.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.819 -1.82)23.46% (1.823 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-2.714 -2.71)57.47% (2.717 2.72)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (1 1)31.78% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.132 1.13)68.21% (-1.128 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 44.07%
    Wrexham 29.88%
    Draw 26.05%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.635 0.64)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
48.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wrexham
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Apr 2, 2021 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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