Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.