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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Torquay United

Wrexham
6 - 0
Torquay Utd

Davies (11'), Mullin (29'), Palmer (42'), Hayden (72'), Dalby (80'), Forde (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Jarvis (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

Last Six:
Last Game: Southend 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Torquay United

Last Six:
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Torquay United

 With the form that Wrexham are in, it is hard to see anything other than a comfortable win for them at home. Torquay have definitely been better on the road but the goalscoring duo of Mullins and Palmer may prove to be slightly too much to handle for them, although it wouldn't be surprising if Goodwin also found the back of the net for Torquay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawTorquay United
73.67%16.08% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 50.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.012 -0.01)36.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)29.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.31% (-0.012 -0.01)44.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)80.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 73.66%
    Torquay United 10.26%
    Draw 16.08%
WrexhamDrawTorquay United
2-0 @ 11.55%
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.86%
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.66%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.08%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.26%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Torquay Utd

Wrexham
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Torquay United
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
1-0
Wrexham
Hall (8')
Moxey (38'), Wearne (69'), Lapslie (83'), (87')

Ponticelli (22'), (87')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Torquay Utd
Lennon (4')
Lennon (47'), Lainton (58')
Lemonheigh-Evans (84')
Perritt (54'), Moxey (90+6')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Wrexham
0-1
Torquay Utd

Angus (76'), Harris (84')
Sherring (90+3')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Torquay Utd
3-1
Wrexham
Whitfield (5'), Hall (17' pen.), Lemonheigh-Evans (74')
MacDonald (75')
Vassell (19')
Horsfield (10')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Wrexham
P-P
Torquay Utd
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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