We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood beat Eastleigh comfortably when the sides last met in the FA Cup first round, and we think there will be a similar outcome here.
The Spitfires are on a poor run of form, and the FA Cup triumph over Bristol Rovers could give the Wood the lift they need to get the victory on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.