Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.