National League North | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley3 - 1Gloucester City
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gloucester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.5% ( 0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
