National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton4 - 0Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Fylde | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Southport |
42.74% ( 0.96) | 25.46% ( 0.07) | 31.8% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.62) | 48.69% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.56) | 70.8% ( 0.56) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( 0.2) | 22.69% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.66% ( 0.29) | 56.34% ( -0.29) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.97) | 28.81% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% ( -1.22) | 64.67% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 42.74%
Southport 31.8%
Draw 25.45%
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.8% |
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Southport
2-0
Alfreton
Woods (23', 55')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
