Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.