Philadelphia2 - 0Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes
This encounter represents the first meeting between the sides since 2019, and with Philadelphia gaining confidence from a promising start to the season, we think that the hosts will remain unbeaten with a victory on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 53.2% | 24.31% | 22.49% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
