Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.