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Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Moreirense

Maritimo
0 - 2
Moreirense


Jean (29'), Joel (45+3'), Morais (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (23', 89')
D'Alberto (14'), Pacheco (47')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo will be on the hunt for a first win in eight league games on Sunday when they host Moreirense, who sit eighth in the Primeira Liga table.

After escaping the foot of the table earlier in the season, Sunday's hosts now find themselves back in the drop zone, while their opponents sit comfortably in the top half of the division.


Match preview

Milton Mendes, now in charge of Maritimo, pictured in 2018© Reuters

Last time out, Maritimo played out a goalless draw away at 13th-placed Portimonense.

While it was not enough to lift them out of the bottom two, that result did put an end to a run of six consecutive defeats in the top flight.

Worryingly for Milton Mendes, his side have netted just three goals in their last seven Primeira Liga games, conceding 12 in that time.

As a result, the side from Madeira now have one of the worst defensive records in the league, with only two sides in the Portuguese top flight conceding more than the 30 goals they have shipped this campaign.

Their home record will also not worry Moreirense, having picked up just eight points from their 10 league games at the Estadio dos Barreiros.

However, they do sit just one point adrift of safety, given how tight the bottom of the league is, and a win on Sunday could see them move out of the relegation zone.

That will be easier said than done though, as they host Moreirense, who sit nine places and eight points above them in the table.

Moreirense players including Mateus Pasinato speak to the referee in January 2021© Reuters

The visitors have suffered somewhat of a slump in form of their own recently, failing to pick up a win in their last three league outings.

In their last game, Vasco Seabra's men drew 2-2 at home to 10th-placed Belenenses, when Rafael Martins twice gave them the lead, only for his goals to be cancelled out by a Goncalo Silva goal and a 72nd-minute Mateo Cassierra equaliser to see the sides share the points.

Before that, Os Verdes e Brancos suffered a disappointing 1-0 away defeat at the hands of basement side Boavista, as Angel Gomes fired his side to an unlikely win.

Despite that recent form, Seabra's men do still sit in eighth spot, while a win on Sunday would see them overtake Santa Clara and move up to seventh.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D


Team News

Maritimo will remain without their key man Rodrigo Pinho, who has missed their last five games with an ankle injury, having netted seven league goals this season.

They will also be missing centre-back Zainadine Junior, who will serve a suspension after picking up his fifth yellow card of the season last time out.

In Pinho's absence, the Maritimo line has been led by Diederrick Joel Tagueu, who has found the net twice in his last four appearances.

Moreirense remain without several players through injury, as Sori Mane, Pedro Amador and Pedro Nuno all continue their spells on the sidelines.

However, they recently welcomed exciting winger Felipe Pires back to action, as he came off the bench last time out after a spell out with injury.

Rafael Martins will be full of confidence in attack, having netted a brace in his last game, taking his tally to four goals from seven league appearances this campaign.

Manchester City loanee Nahuel Ferraresi has impressed in defence recently, cementing his spot in the starting lineup.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Abedzadeh; Winck, Santos, Andrade, Africo, Hermes; Bambock, Jean, Macedo; Tagueu, Guitane

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; D'Alberto, Rosic, Ferraresi, Conte; Yan, Pacheco, A. Soares, Walterson; Martins, P. Soares


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 0-2 Moreirense

We expect Maritimo's winless run to continue on Sunday, as they could be outclassed by the visitors with their sights set on seventh place.

Mendes's side have definitely struggled without Pinho in attack, and we see them failing to score again here, while their weak defence could be taken apart by the exciting Moreirense attack.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:438028:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8618:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Maritimo vs Moreirense

Maritimo
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Moreirense
75.0%
8
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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