Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Pau2 - 3Caen
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grenoble 0-1 Pau
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Angers
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
30.03% ( -0.38) | 25.65% ( 0.08) | 44.32% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
