Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Pau win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.