MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:10:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau
Caen

Pau
1 - 0
Caen

George (31')
D'Almeida (35')
D'Almeida (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), Sylla (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Caen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Rodez AF 2-3 Pau
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

We said: Pau 1-3 Caen

 Although Pau will be fighting to avoid relegation, there is a clear gulf in quality between these two sides and we expect Caen to end the season on a high by securing a third victory in four matches. Moulin and his players will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for next season, and they will not be interested in handing out any favours to their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawCaen
28.13% (1.645 1.65) 27.76% (1.046 1.05) 44.1% (-2.695 -2.7)
Both teams to score 46.24% (-1.822 -1.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.878 -2.88)59.14% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-2.278 -2.28)79.58% (2.276 2.28)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-0.212 -0.21)36.94% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.21 -0.21)73.73% (0.208 0.21)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-2.636 -2.64)26.67% (2.632 2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-3.614 -3.61)61.92% (3.612 3.61)
Score Analysis
    Pau 28.14%
    Caen 44.1%
    Draw 27.76%
PauDrawCaen
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.968 0.97)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.457 0.46)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 9.85% (1.022 1.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 13.02% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.472 -0.47)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.495 -0.5)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.1%

How you voted: Pau vs Caen

Pau
0.0%
Draw
23.1%
Caen
76.9%
13
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Caen
1-1
Pau
Abdi (23')
Saivet (7')
Feb 19, 2022 6pm
gameweek 25
Pau
1-0
Caen
Koffi (59')
Daubin (54')

Lepenant (69'), Oniangue (73'), Deminguet (78'), Abdi (90')
Sep 11, 2021 6pm
gameweek 7
Caen
1-2
Pau
Rivierez (23')
Zady (31')
Gomis (42'), Armand (59')
Daubin (37'), Lambert Evans (71')
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Caen
1-1
Pau
Mendy (38')
Riou (56' og.)
Lobry (42'), Batisse (76')
Dec 1, 2020 6pm
gameweek 13
Pau
1-0
Caen
Armand (14')
Daubin (19'), Koffi (90')

Traore (13'), Beka Beka (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient20124434191540
2Metz20107330141637
3Paris FCParis FC20114531191237
4DunkerqueDunkerque2011363024636
5GuingampGuingamp20112735241135
6Laval2096530191133
7Annecy209652725233
8PauPau207762322128
9Grenoble208392325-227
10Bastia2051142319426
11AmiensAmiens2082102128-726
12Clermont206681923-424
13Rodez AFRodez AF206593234-223
14Red Star2064102136-1522
15Troyes2063111923-421
16Ajaccio2063111525-1021
17Caen2043131929-1015
18Martigues2043131337-2415
> Ligue 2 Full Table


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