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Metz logo
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 0
Pau

Dia Ndiaye (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomis (90')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Metz
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 1-0 Valenciennes
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
MetzDrawPau
57.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 24.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.09% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)54.9% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)76.19% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.87% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)50.34% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (-0.029 -0.03)80.44% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Metz 57.7%
    Pau 18.09%
    Draw 24.19%
MetzDrawPau
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 57.7%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.09%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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