MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:05:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Metz logo
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
3 - 2
Bastia

Sabaly (31'), Maziz (55', 75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bohnert (68'), Schur (86')
Salles-Lamonge (23'), Brouard (24'), Kaiboue (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Bastia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sochaux 0-1 Metz
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Le Havre
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

We said: Metz 2-1 Bastia

It will be far from straightforward for Metz, but they should be able to get the job done against a good Bastia outfit who have been spoilers in recent weeks. They just need to hope Bordeaux do not thrash Rodez and promotion should be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawBastia
56.21% (3.918 3.92) 25.86% (-1.207 -1.21) 17.92% (-2.714 -2.71)
Both teams to score 40.62% (-0.818 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.24% (1.06 1.06)60.76% (-1.061 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (0.789 0.79)80.81% (-0.791 -0.79)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (2.144 2.14)21.79% (-2.145 -2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (3.167 3.17)54.98% (-3.169 -3.17)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.93% (-2.539 -2.54)48.07% (2.539 2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72% (-1.927 -1.93)83.28% (1.926 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Metz 56.2%
    Bastia 17.92%
    Draw 25.86%
MetzDrawBastia
1-0 @ 15.95% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.15% (1.01 1.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.867 0.87)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.347 0.35)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.455 0.46)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.56 -0.56)
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.902 -0.9)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Metz vs Bastia

Metz
55.6%
Draw
27.8%
Bastia
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
gameweek 9
Bastia
1-0
Metz
Salles-Lamonge (10')
Mar 17, 2017 6pm
Metz
1-0
Bastia
Cioni (46' og.)
Balliu (50'), Nguette (69')

Cioni (38'), Ngando (78')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Djiku (23'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Coulibaly (22'), Danic (83')

Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
Feb 7, 2015 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Kamano (65'), Boudebouz (79' pen.)
Modesto (45')

Ndaw (3'), Milan (38'), Luis Palomino (45'), Marchal (79')
Milan (50')
Sep 20, 2014 7pm
Metz
3-1
Bastia
Krivets (14'), Milan (64'), Falcon (74')
Metanire (7')
Ayite (42')
Modesto (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!