MX23RW : Monday, December 23 08:08:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 1
Valenciennes

Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Mendy (45+2'), Vandermersch (63'), Hafid (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonnet (30')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
57.02% (0.931 0.93) 25.77% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.2% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 39.69% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)61.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.373 0.37)21.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (0.567 0.57)54.82% (-0.569 -0.57)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.892 -0.89)49.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.638 -0.64)84.17% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Caen 57.02%
    Valenciennes 17.2%
    Draw 25.76%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.02%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.2%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Ntim (7')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Valenciennes
1-0
Caen
Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')

Deminguet (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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