Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amiens 0-2 Metz
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Caen 3-1 Bastia
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Caen had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Caen |
49.04% ( -0.84) | 25.95% ( -0.11) | 25% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 49% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.58% ( 1.11) | 54.41% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.21% ( 0.91) | 75.78% ( -0.92) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( 0.09) | 22.22% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( 0.13) | 55.64% ( -0.13) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 1.47) | 36.99% ( -1.47) |