MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 13:49:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
44.2% (-0.109 -0.11) 28.54% (0.141 0.14) 27.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.471 -0.47)62.13% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.347 -0.35)81.83% (0.348 0.35)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.283 -0.28)28.03% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.362 -0.36)63.68% (0.364 0.36)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)39.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.273 -0.27)76.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 44.2%
    Ajaccio 27.25%
    Draw 28.54%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
58.8%
Draw
29.4%
Ajaccio
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient19114431171437
2Metz1997327141334
3Paris FCParis FC1910452718934
4DunkerqueDunkerque1910362824433
5Annecy199642723433
6GuingampGuingamp19102734241032
7Laval1986529191030
8Grenoble198382322127
9PauPau197662221127
10AmiensAmiens198292125-426
11Bastia1951042218425
12Clermont196671720-324
13Rodez AFRodez AF196583132-123
14Red Star196492032-1222
15Troyes1963101922-321
16Ajaccio1953111324-1118
17Caen1943121928-915
18Martigues1933131037-2712


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