MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:42:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes
3 - 1
Bastia

Jung (27' pen., 53'), Knockaert (61')
Knockaert (20'), Kantari (21'), Jung (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okou (8')
Bohnert (34'), Keita (57'), Alfarela (68')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 3-1 Valenciennes
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-2 Caen
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawBastia
37.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.25% (0.0020000000000024 0) 34.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)66.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 37.62%
    Bastia 34.12%
    Draw 28.25%
ValenciennesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Bastia
3-0
Valenciennes
Lienard (40'), Santelli (77'), Vincent (90+5')

Masson (51'), Linguet (82')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Valenciennes
2-2
Bastia
Grbic (25', 48')
Magri (4', 69')
Dec 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 17
Bastia
1-0
Valenciennes
Drame (78')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient17103430171333
2DunkerqueDunkerque1710252722532
3Paris FCParis FC1794425151031
4Metz1786324131130
5Annecy178632519630
6Laval1784527171028
7GuingampGuingamp178272723426
8PauPau176561819-123
9AmiensAmiens177282024-423
10Bastia1741031817122
11Grenoble176382122-121
12Troyes176381819-121
13Red Star176381828-1021
14Rodez AFRodez AF175572928120
15Clermont175571519-420
16Caen1743101825-715
17Ajaccio1743101119-815
18Martigues1733111035-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!