Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
